Is Clegg going to be able to survive?
Ladbrokes make it a 6/4 chance that Clegg won’t be Lib Dem leader at the general election twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 24, 2013 Inititial reaction to Clegg’s...
View ArticleRennardgate puts pressure on the Tories to ensure they win Eastleigh
How can they fail with all this happening to the LDs? Terrible front pages for Nick Clegg this morning – 3 days before crucial #Eastleigh by-election twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson...
View ArticleTonight’s latest Lib Dem betting
Latest Next LD leader odds from Ladbrokes bit.ly/c5gpH6 and Bet365 bit.ly/g4saCk twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 26, 2013 Latest NIck Clegg specials betting with...
View ArticleWe wait for the by election result
Eastleigh – the result twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 1, 2013
View ArticleThe real message from Nick Clegg this morning – the now loveless marriage has...
If the coalition is to end prematurely then it won’t be because the LDs quit. Clegg response.goo.gl/FRdUp twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 22, 2013 Tories are being told:...
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Will Nick Clegg lead the Lib Dems at the general election?
It has been a difficult few years for the Lib Dems and Nick Clegg in particular since they formed the coalition, Electorally, they’ve had three years of successive net loss of councillors in the local...
View ArticleIn spite of his current travails the betting markets make EdM the leader most...
Dave deemed to be most at risk party leader during 2013 according to PaddyPower See odds expressed as percentages pic.twitter.com/WDp7dFiJiu — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 6, 2013 Dave is the one...
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Nick Clegg’s ratings move from the negative to the positive with LD members
55% of LD members polled want Clegg to lead the party into GE2015 while 38% want him to stand down before then. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 26, 2013 58% of LD members polled by LD voice say...
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How do the Tories balance their electoral coalition?
Is the immigration debate symptomatic of a larger problem? The furore that has blown up among those who’ve noticed the two news stories connected to immigration this week is a good example of the...
View ArticleWhich party leader will be the first to step aside?
Which leader do you think is most likely to go first? David Cameron Ed Miliband Nick Clegg Nigel Farage Up to the end of July I thought that Ed Miliband was the leader most secure in his post...
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Cameron and Clegg The New Blair and Brown?
Yesterday John Rentoul wrote a fascinating piece on the Dave and Nick relationship. I am told that [David Cameron] has recently had a lot of “quite angry” meetings with Nick Clegg. Where once civil...
View ArticleAfter the Syria Vote: What happens next in the UK
Here's a montage of the most recent front pages I've seen. #Syria http://t.co/EkYjORp06g pic.twitter.com/sRvJIGQyNm — Nick Sutton (@suttonnick) August 30, 2013 Looking at those front pages, it doesn’t...
View ArticleThe Lib Dems are in no mood to change their leader
Nick Clegg appealing to delegates at LD conference to back him on economy pic.twitter.com/ILLwDLrkgE — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 16, 2013 Clegg looks safe until GE2015 If there was going...
View ArticleClegg’s big EE2014 gamble: pitching the LDs as the party of “in” and leading...
Telegraph's front page lead pic.twitter.com/Z6MyQmSecj — PolPics (@PolPics) December 31, 2013 Can the yellows retain their 4th place? The Telegraph is leading this morning on attacks by Nick Clegg and...
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Clegg will survive the Rennard crisis but if he doesn’t watch out for Norman...
In a crisis go for the grey haired man I’ve been getting a number of requests for my view on whether Clegg will survive the Rennard crisis and what my thoughts are on a likely successor. Certainly...
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Labour to launch a decapitation strategy against Clegg?
This morning reports emerged that the Labour party is briefing that it has launched a “major bid” to defeat Clegg in his Sheffield Hallam constituency at the next election, with one NEC source...
View ArticleWill Farage accept Clegg’s challenge?
And will it help Clegg and the Lib Dems? This morning Nick Clegg has challenged Nigel Farage to a live debate on Britain’s membership of the European Union before May’s elections. I wonder if this...
View ArticleSo Nick versus Nigel is on but it should be on national TV not LBC
Ladbrokes open debate betting to be settled on a voodoo poll!! Well done to Nick Clegg and Nigel Farage for agreeing to a debate ahead of the European elections. This will certainly add fizz to the...
View ArticleLabour’s “Get Clegg” decapitation strategy fails to impress punters. He...
Not on topic, but would you like to take part in an Oxford research project on PB? A researcher at the Oxford Internet Institute currently studying the UK political blogosphere is interested in...
View ArticleEU referendum poll blow for Farage only hours before the TV clash with Clegg
The link to watch tonight's #NickvNigel debate live on LBC: http://t.co/bIcLElASpP pic.twitter.com/3bdeTxSxMM thanks to @LibDemMEPs — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 26, 2014
View ArticleThe post Nick v Nigel debate reaction
The YouGov poll on who won the debate is out. BREAKING: FARAGE WINS. Nigel beats Nick 57-36 – @YouGov/Sun poll: http://t.co/HFiBvZJLiG pic.twitter.com/iLXcPej6D5 — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn)...
View ArticleLooks like the knives are out for Clegg
INDEPENDENT ON SUNDAY: Lib dem MPs in bid to oust Clegg #tomorrowspaperstoday #BBCPapers pic.twitter.com/vHrj8BqXNS — Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) May 24, 2014 The Independent on Sunday and others are...
View ArticleLeaked private polling shows Clegg losing Sheffield Hallam and finishing...
New PB thread on leaked private ICM polling showing Nick Clegg losing Sheffield Hallam. http://t.co/c8kw0erFTJ pic.twitter.com/f698czzOzf — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) May 26, 2014 If there’s one...
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Lord Ashcroft’s promised CON-LD battleground polls could either take the...
What’s going on in LD-held seats is critical The 6% share for the Lib Dems in today’s YouGov/Sun poll is the lowest the firm has reported since it began its online operation in 2001. The party was...
View ArticleThe worry for Nick Clegg is if moves like this in Nottingham gather momentum
The Nottingham Post story on the LD leadership http://t.co/kILKA2OtAH. See pic.twitter.com/Y5715iNlaT — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 16, 2014 At the moment the pressure is very limited So far...
View ArticleIs Clegg set to announce his departure today?
Some interesting movements over at the bookies @MSmithsonPB Still 5/1 with Ladbrokes, if anyone's interested. — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) October 8, 2014 Clegg NOT to lead LibDems into GE2015...
View ArticleNew report suggests that students could tip the balance of power at GE15...
@MSmithsonPB: Indy story that new rules http://t.co/qsTs7zzffQ on student registering to vote could cost Clegg seat pic.twitter.com/DJ6XQcswfu — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 1, 2014 And that...
View ArticleNorman Lamb, my long-term bet for Clegg’s replacement, moves a step closer to...
Norman Lamb could be the "stop Farron" candidate if there's an early LD leadership fight http://t.co/nnKi8Y4nBh pic.twitter.com/vsRgO7hIWw — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 8, 2015 The Indy on...
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The GE2015 prospects for Clegg, Salmond, and Farage are all dependent on...
So what combination will fail to be elected on May 7th? One of those attending the PB party on Tuesday, a long standing lurker who has never posted, told me that one of his favourite bets at the...
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David Herdson asks: Where’s Cleggy?
Solving the riddle of the election’s missing man Two Kings and a Joker is the hand the media traditionally aims to deal the public in their coverage of general elections. They don’t always manage to...
View ArticleICM phone poll naming Clegg has him holding Sheffield Hallam thanks to...
The guardian/@ICMResearch Sheffield Hallam poll. Top graphic is naming the candidates. pic.twitter.com/FwwlOWuQ1v — TSE (@TSEofPB) May 4, 2015 ICM have conducted a poll for the Guardian in Sheffield...
View ArticleAnd so now we turn to leader resignations triggering off 3 leadership contests
Ed makes it all three pic.twitter.com/jYTApArKfm — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 8, 2015 Clegg confirms pic.twitter.com/TZJf15EFoJ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 8, 2015 A problem for the LDs is...
View ArticleNick Clegg’s next career more should be to run for Mayor of London
Away from the LAB leadership there’s been a bit of a buzz about today about Nick Clegg’s future with the extraordinary suggestion that he should be his party’s candidate for Mayor of London in the...
View ArticleThis morning’s must read
Guardian front page via @suttonnick Clegg offered to resign as Lib Dem leader in May 2014 http://t.co/gTWlPjXRRw pic.twitter.com/zTWhL3GspY — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 24, 2015 The Guardian have a...
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Wiping out the Lib Dems might have been Cameron’s greatest strategic mistake...
Picture: The apotheosis of the Tory targeting of the Lib Dems at the last general election. Why Cameron might still be PM if the coalition had continued after May 2015. When David Cameron reflects on...
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